FREE PICKS TUE 7/21/26

New York Yankees (-135)

Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees (Home)

Game Time: 7:05 PM ET

Pick: New York Yankees ML (-135)

The Yankees come into this home spot with a massive pitching advantage on the mound. Pittsburgh sends out Bubba Chandler (3-8, 4.77 ERA), who has struggled heavily with command and elevated hard-hit rates, especially when working away from home. New York starter Will Warren (7-4, 4.03 ERA) gives the Yanks stability and weak-contact generation. Pair that with a Yankees lineup that produces an elite OPS at Yankee Stadium against right-handed pitching, and New York has all the offensive leverage to jump out early and control this game from wire-to-wire.

Tampa Bay Rays (-110)

Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays (Away) vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Game Time: 7:07 PM ET

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays ML (-110)

The Rays (57-42) are in prime position to attack a struggling Kevin Gausman (4-8, 4.33 ERA), who continues to give up damaging barrel rates and high-leverage hits. Drew Rasmussen (7-5, 3.26 ERA) takes the mound for Tampa Bay, bringing elite ground-ball rates that neutralize Toronto's hit tools. Furthermore, Tampa Bay holds one of the most effective late-inning bullpens in baseball, giving them a clear tactical edge in a close game down the stretch. Expect the Rays to grind out high-pitch at-bats, force Toronto into their thin secondary arm relief, and secure the win.

Cincinnati Reds (+100)

Matchup: Cincinnati Reds (Away) vs. Seattle Mariners

Game Time: 9:40 PM ET

Pick: Cincinnati Reds ML (+100)

Getting even-money value on Cincinnati is a steal tonight, backed by one of the top breakout arms of the year. The Reds hand the ball to Chase Burns, who has been dominant with an 11-1 record, a 2.54 ERA, and 118 strikeouts. He faces a Seattle Mariners lineup that ranks near the top of MLB in strikeout percentage. Seattle sends veteran Luis Castillo (3-8, 4.93 ERA) to the bump, but his declining velocity and hit-suppression numbers make him vulnerable against a fast, high-contact Reds lineup. With Burns commanding the strike zone, the Reds carry all the momentum and pitch-level dominance to take this road battle.